داده کاوی عوامل مرتبط در حمل اضافه‌تناژ وسایل نقلیه باری در معابر درون‌شهری تهران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانش آموخته دکتری، گروه مهندسی عمران، گرایش برنامه‌ریزی حمل‌ونقل، دانشگاه علم ‌و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران

2 استادیار، گروه مهندسی عمران، گرایش برنامه‌ریزی حمل‌ونقل، دانشگاه علم ‌و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران

چکیده

هدف این مطالعه، شناسایی فاکتورهای مهم و تاثیرگذار در ارتکاب رانندگان ناوگان باری به تخلف اضافه تناژ در مسیرهای بزرگراهی درون‌شهری تهران و بررسی اثرگذاری هر کدام از متغیرها در ارتکاب به این تخلف رانندگی است. برای رسیدن به این هدف، اطلاعات مورد نیاز پژوهش از طریق برداشت میدانی در 10 ایستگاه در محورهای بزرگراهی درون‌شهری تهران برداشت گردید. بدین ترتیب که اطلاعات تناژ وسایل نقلیه باری با استفاده از یک جفت باسکول پرتابل و همچنین سایر اطلاعات موردنیاز شامل اطلاعات راننده، وسیله نقلیه، بار و سفر از طریق تکمیل پرسشنامه برداشت شده و پس از اصلاح و حذف داده‌های ناقص، به تعداد 856 نمونه اطلاعاتی برای انجام تحلیل‌های آماری، مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. نتایج مدل‌های آماری و تحلیل‌های لجستیک باینری نشان داد که بیشترین احتمال حمل اضافه تناژ در محورهای درون‌شهری برای بارهای از نوع ساختمانی بدست آمده است. همچنین نتایج مدل‌سازی در بخش نوع مسیر تردد نیز نشان داد که بیشترین احتمال حمل اضافه بار برای بارهای داخلی (مبدأ و مقصد داخل تهران) و کمترین آن برای بارهای عبوری (مبدأ و مقصد خارج از تهران) است. در انتها نیز این نتیجه حاصل شد که احتمال ارتکاب به تخلف اضافه تناژ توسط رانندگان باری در روزهای تعطیل در حدود 18 برابر روزهای کاری است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

A Data mining approach on significant variables affecting lorry drivers overloading in Tehran urban roads

نویسندگان [English]

  • Ehsan Ayazi 1
  • Abdolreza Sheikholeslami 2
1 Ph.D., Grad., Department of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran.
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده [English]

The aim of this study is to identify the important factors influencing lorry drivers overloading on Tehran's highways and to investigate the effect of each variables in committing this violation. To this end, the required information was collected through field surveys at 10 stations on the Tehran urban highways. The tonnage data of freight vehicles were collected using a pair of portable scales as well as other information needed including driver information, vehicle, load and travel by completing the questionnaire. After correcting or deleting incomplete data, 856 data records were used for statistical analysis. The results of statistical models and binary logistic analyzes showed that the highest probability of overloading in the inner-city axes was obtained for construction loads. Also, the results of modeling in traffic type section showed that the highest likelihood of overload for internal loads (origin and destination inside Tehran) and the least probability of overburden (origin and destination outside of Tehran) were obtained. Finally, it was concluded that drivers are more likely to commit overloading on weekends.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Traffic Safety
  • Lorry Driver’s Offenses
  • Load Transportation
  • Multinomial Logistic Regression Model

مراجع

-Attarchi, M. S., F. Dehghan, S. M. Seyedmehdi and S. Mohammadi (2012), "Traffic accidents and related injuries in Iranian professional drivers." Journal of Public Health 20(5), pp.499-503.
 
-Bham, G. H., B. S. Javvadi and U. R. Manepalli, (2011), "Multinomial logistic regression model for single-vehicle and multivehicle collisions on urban US highways in Arkansas." Journal of Transportation Engineering 138(6), pp.786-797.
 
-Blower, D., P. E. Green and A. Matteson (2010), "Condition of trucks and truck crash involvement: Evidence from the large truck crash causation study", Transportation Research Record 2194(1), pp.21-28.
 
-Brodie, L., B. Lyndal and I. J. Elias, (2009), "Heavy vehicle driver fatalities: Learning's from fatal road crash investigations in Victoria", Accident Analysis & Prevention 41(3), pp.557-564.
 
-Cantor, D. E., T. M. Corsi, C. M. Grimm and K. Özpolat, (2010), "A driver focused truck crash prediction model", Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 46(5), pp.683-692.
 
-Chen, G. X., W. K. Sieber, J. E. Lincoln, J. Birdsey, E. M. Hitchcock, A. Nakata, C. F. Robinson, J. W. Collins and M. H. Sweeney (2015), "NIOSH national survey of long-haul truck drivers: injury and safety", Accident Analysis & Prevention 85, pp.66-72
.
-Davey, J., D. Wishart, J. Freeman and B. Watson, (2007), "An application of the driver behaviour questionnaire in an Australian organisational fleet setting", Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour 10(1), pp.11-21.
 
-de Vries, J., R. de Koster, S. Rijsdijk and D. Roy (2017), "Determinants of safe and productive truck driving: Empirical evidence from long-haul cargo transport", Transportation research part E: logistics and transportation review 97, pp. 113-131.
 
-de Winter, J. C. and D. Dodou, (2016), "National correlates of self-reported traffic violations across 41 countries", Personality and individual differences 98, pp.­145-152
.
Fergenson, P. E., (1971), "The relationship between information processing and driving accident and violation record", SAGE Publications Sage CA: Los Angeles, CA.
 
-Fiorillo, G. and M. Ghosn, (2014), "Procedure for statistical categorization of overweight vehicles in a WIM database", Journal of Transportation Engineering,
140(5): 04014011.
 
-Fu, G. and O. Hag-Elsafi, (2000), "Vehicular overloads: Load model, bridge safety, and permit checking", Journal of Bridge Engineering 5(1), pp. 49-57.
 
-Jacob, B. and V. Feypell-de La Beaumelle (2010), "Improving truck safety: Potential of weigh-in-motion technology", IATSS research 34(1), pp.9-15.
 
-Ketabi, D., A. Barkhordari, S. J., Mirmohammadi and A. H. Mehrparvar, (2011), "Aberrant behaviors and road accidents among Iranian truck drivers, 2010", Health promotion perspectives 1(2), pp.130.
 
-Maslać, M., B. Antić, K. Lipovac, D. Pešić and N. Milutinović, (2018), "Behaviours of drivers in Serbia: Non-professional versus professional drivers", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 52: pp.101-111.
 
Mehdizadeh, M., A. Shariat-Mohaymany and T. Nordfjaern, (2018), "Accident involvement among Iranian lorry drivers: Direct and indirect effects of background variables and aberrant driving behaviour", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 58, pp. 39-55.
 
Mohammadi, J. and N. Shah (1992). "Statistical evaluation of truck overloads." Journal of transportation engineering 118(5), pp.651-665.
 
-Naderi, H., H. Nassiri and S. Sahebi, (2018), "Assessing the relationship between heavy vehicle driver sleep problems and confirmed driver behavior measurement tools in Iran", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 59, pp. 57-66.
 
-Oladepo, O. and C. R. Onyema, (2011), "Knowledge and attitude of safety belt use among professional drivers in a tertiary Nigerian institution", International journal of injury control and safety promotion 18(1), pp.57-64.
 
-Poulter, D. R., P. Chapman, P. A. Bibby, D. D. Clarke and D. Crundall, (2008),
"An application of the theory of planned behaviour to truck driving behaviour and compliance with regulations", Accident Analysis & Prevention 40(6), pp.2058-2064.
 
-Precht, L., A. Keinath and J. F. Krems, (2017), "Identifying the main factors contributing to driving errors and traffic violations–Results from naturalistic driving data", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 49, pp. 49-92.
 
-Reason, J., A. Manstead, S. Stradling, J. Baxter and K. Campbell, (1990), "Errors and violations on the roads: a real distinction?" Ergonomics 33(10-11), pp.1315-1332.
 
-Rezapour, M., S. S. Wulff and K. Ksaibati (2018), "Predicting truck at-fault crashes using crash and traffic offence data", The Open Transportation Journal 12.
 
-Rosenbloom, T., E. Eldror and A. Shahar (2009), "Approaches of truck drivers and
non-truck drivers toward reckless on-road behavior", Accident Analysis & Prevention 41(4), pp.723-728.
 
-Sullman, M. J., M. L. Meadows and K. B. Pajo, (2002), "Aberrant driving behaviours amongst New Zealand truck drivers", Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour 5(3), pp.217-232.
 
-Tavafian, S. S., T. Aghamolaei and A. Madani (2011), "Predictors of speeding behavior among a sample of Iranian commercial automobile drivers: an application of the theory of planned behavior." Traffic injury prevention 12(3), pp. 274-278.
 
-Thompson, J., S. Newnam and M. Stevenson (2015), "A model for exploring the relationship between payment structures, fatigue, crash risk, and regulatory response in a heavy-vehicle transport system", Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 82, pp.204-215.
 
-Tseng, C. M., M. S. Yeh, L. Y. Tseng, H. H. Liu and M.-C. Lee, (2016), "A comprehensive analysis of factors leading to speeding offenses among large-truck drivers­", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 38, pp.171-181.
 
-Walton, D., (1999), "Examining the
self-enhancement bias: professional truck drivers’ perceptions of speed, safety, skill and consideration", Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour 2(2),
pp.91-113.
 
-Zhang, G., Y. Li, M. J. King and Q. Zhong (2019), "Overloading among crash-involved vehicles in China: identification of factors associated with overloading and crash severity", Injury Prevention 25(1), pp.36-46.

فایل ها

هم رسانی

ارجاع به این مقاله

آمار