نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران
2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
3 استاد گروه اقتصاد دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Energy consumption in the transport sector is ranked second among all consumer sectors and is responsible for almost a quarter of the total carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions produced. In the transport sector, the use of energy is scattered, and it is very difficult to manage energy demand and control pollution. Therefore, it is important to address the factors affecting fuel demand in this sector. The purpose of this study is to estimate the demand of private cars fuel in the transport sector of Kerman city using the technological car stock model in 2015. Considering the variables of engine capacity, fuel type, car age, different scenarios are considered. The results indicate that the greatest impact on fuel demand is the cars with engine size between 1350cc to 1650cc and average age of 5 to 10 years. As well as increasing the car stock of Gasoline-powered cars in the personal transport fleet, the demand for fuel increases substantially. Also, the impact of the explanatory variable of the model, including the annual mileage of the vehicle, specific energy consumption and stock of car, is estimated on the demand for fuel as a positive dependent variable.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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