عنوان مقاله [English]
This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive analysis procedure for predicting the reliability of the railway industry in order to identify the factors affecting the reliability and obtain a more accurate estimate. This study will also help railway industry managers to better understand the importance of reliability and optimize important performance indicators in the railway industry and to understand the advances that can be made to improve reliability in the railway industry. This study also presents a comprehensive allocation framework with regard to the features of a passenger railway system and possible alternatives; In addition to system reliability, the proposed process can allocate life cycle costs and service reliability to determine the optimal investment plan for designing or updating the rail system. This comprehensive approach can help the rail industry in predicting the reliability of systems and subsystems and identifying the ideal balance between cost, reliability and timing of passenger trains in order to achieve optimal rail system design.
-A. H. S. Garmabaki, A. Ahmadi, J. Block, H. Pham, and U. Kumar, (2016), “A reliability decision framework for multiple repairable units”, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., Vol. 150,
-A. P. Patra and U. Kumar, (2010), “Availability analysis of railway track circuit”, in Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part F: Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit, pp. 169–177.
-A. P. Patra., (2007), “RAMS and LCC in rail track maintenance”, Luleå University of Technology.
-Armstrong, M.J., (2002), “Age repair policies for the machine repair problem” .European Journal of Operational Research. 138(1), pp. 127-141.
bobbio, A., et al. 2001. “Improving the analysis of dependable systems by mapping fault trees into Bayesian networks”. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 71(3), pp.249-260.
Carl-William. P, Nils. O, Lena. H. 2017. “Some Influencing Factors For Passenger Train Punctuality In Sweden”. International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management.
Cheng. Y, Tsung LU. C, Lin Lu. C. 2017. “comprehensive approach to allocate reliability and cost in passenger rail system design”, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2608,
-C. Stenström, (2012), “Performance Measurement of Railway Infrastructure with Focus on the Swedish Network”.
-D. Rama and J. D. Andrews, (2014), “A Holistic Approach to Railway Infrastructure Asset Management”, Vol. 11, pp. 3–16.
-Ebeling, C.E., (1997), “An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability engineering’”, New York: The McGraw-Hill Company, Inc.,
-Flammini, F.et al., (2014), “A Multiformalism Modular Approach To ERTMS/ETCS Failure Modeling”, International Journal of Reliability, Quality and Safety Engineering.
-Jardine, A.K.S., and Banjevic, D., (2001), “Optimizing a mine haul truck wheel motors' condition monitoring program”, J. of Quality in Maintenance Engineering, 7(4), pp. 1355-2511.
-J. Johansson, H. Hassel, and E. Zio., (2013), “Reliability and vulnerability analyses of critical infrastructures: Comparing two approaches in the context of power systems”, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., Vol. 120, pp. 27–38.
-Hong, Y.J., Xing, J., and Wang, J.B., (1999),
“A second-order third-moment method for calculating the reliability of fatigue”, International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping. 76(4),
-Hoyland, A. and Rausand, M., (1994), “System reliability Theory: Models and Statistical Methods,” New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
-H. S. Bø and B. F. Nielsen, (2014), “Estimation of Reliability by Monte Carlo Simulations Combined with Optimized Parametric Models”, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
-Ineco., (2013), “General Rams Plan For The Railway Lines Akko-Carmiel, Haifa - Bet Shean And Herzelya-Kefar Saba”, pp. 50.
-Kim, H., (2000), “Reliability modelling of a hard real-time system using the path-space approach”, Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 68(2),
-K. N. Fleming, A. Mosleh, and R. Kenneth Deremer, (1986), “A systematic procedure for the incorporation of common cause events into risk and reliability models”, Nucl. Eng. Des., Vol. 93,
No. 2–3, pp. 245–273.
-Kumar Sharma, D. K., (2005), “Systematic failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) using fuzzy linguistic modeling”, International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, 22(9),
-T. Nowakowski, “Problems of Transportation Process Reliability Modelling.” Wrocław University of Technology, p. 20.
-Landmark. A.D, Seim. A.A, Nils. O., (2017), “Visualisation of Train Punctuality – Illustrations and Cases”, Transportation Research Procedia pp.1227–1234.
-Love, C.E., et al., (2000), “A discrete semi-Markov decision model to determine the optimal repair/replacement policy under general repairs”, European Journal of Operational Research, 125(3), pp. 398-409.
-Marquez, A.C., and Heguedas, A.S., (2002), “Models for maintenance optimization: a study for repairable systems and finite time periods”. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 75(3),
-M. D. McNaught. 2015. “A Risk-Reliability Comparison of Track Sections in the Passenger Railway Industry”, University of Stellenbosch.
-Milutinović, D. & Lučanin, V., (2005), “Relation between reliability and availability of railway vehicles”, FME Transactions, 33(3), pp. 135-13.
-Network Rail, (2014), “Asset Management Strategy.” Network Rail, London, pp. 48.
-N. R. Council, (1996), “Measuring and Improving Infrastructure Performance”, National Academy of Sciences.
-O. Basile, P. Dehombreux, and F. Riane, (2004), “Identification of reliability models for non repairable and repairable systems with small samples”, Proc. IMS2004 Conf. Adv. Maint. Model. Simul. Intell. Monit. Degrad. Arles,
-O'connor, P.D.T., Practical Reliability Engineering. 4th ed., (2002), “Chichester”: John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
-P. Brinkman., (2009), “Valuing rail infrastructure performance in a multi actor context MSc-Thesis”, TU Delft.
-P. Daniel, Conradie, C. Fourie, P. Vlok, and N. Treurnicht., (2015), “Quantifying System Reliability in Rail Transportation in an Aging Fleet Environment,” South African J. Ind. Eng., Vol. 26, No. March, pp.128.
-Percy, D.F., (2002), “Bayesian enhanced strategic decision making for reliability”. European Journal of Operational Research. 139(1), pp. 133-145.
-Percy, D.F., Kobbacy, K.A.H., and Fawzi, B.B. (1997), “Setting preventive maintenance schedules when data are sparse”. International Journal of Production Economics. 51(3), pp. 223-234.
-Pham, H., (2003), “Handbook of reliability engineering”, London, Springer.
-P. Prof, J. Jorge, P. Pereira, O. Prof, and P. Manuel, (2008) “RAMS analysis of railway track infrastructure (Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety)”, Instituto Superior Tecnico.
-Restel. F. J, Zajac. M., (2015), “Reliability Model of the Railway Transportation System With Respect to Hazard States”, Proceedings of the IEEE IEEM.
-Rong Zhang. R, Lu Li., Jian. W., (2019), “Reliability analysis on railway transport chain”, International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology 8, pp.192–201.
-R. Valenzuela, (2014), “Compact Reliability and Maintenance Modeling of Complex Repairable Systems”, Georgia Institute of Technology.
-Silver, E.A. and Fiechter, C. N., (1995),
“Preventive maintenance with limited historical data”, European J. of Operational Research. 82(1): pp. 125-144.
-S. J. Hassankiadeh, (2011), “Failure Analysis of Railway Switches and Crossings for the purpose of Preventive Maintenance”, Royal Institute of Technology.
-S. M. Famurewa, (2015), “Maintenance Analysis and Modelling for Enhanced Railway Infrastructure Capacity,” Lulea University of Technology.
-Williams, M.M.R. and Thome, M.C., (1997), “The estimation of failure rates for low probability events”, Progress in Nuclear Energy. 31(4),
-Y. K. Al-Douri, P. Tretten, and R. Karim, (2016), “Improvement of railway performance: a study of Swedish railway infrastructure”, J. Mod. Transp., Vol. 24, No. 1, pp. 22–37.
-Zhuwaki. N.T., (2017), “Application of reliability analysis for performance assessments in railway infrastructure asset management”, Master thesis in Engineering Management in the Faculty of Engineering at Stellenbosch University.