پژوهشنامه حمل و نقل

پژوهشنامه حمل و نقل

ارائه چارچوب سیاست­گذاری صنعت حمل و نقل در پساکووید

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مدیریت بازرگانی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه گیلان، رشت، ایران
2 استاد، گروه مدیریت بازرگانی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه گیلان، رشت، ایران
10.22034/tri.2022.280883.2891
چکیده
تأثیرات COVID-19 در بخش حمل و نقل و اقدامات مربوطه در حال بررسی گسترده است. با توجه به عدم قطعیت ها و ناشناخته های مختلف در مورد این ویروس و تأثیرات آن (به ویژه تأثیرات طولانی مدت) ، درک نظرات و پیشنهادات متخصصان بخش حمل و نقل و دیگر بخش های مربوطه از جمله سیاست گذاری بسیار مهم است. با این حال ، تاکنون هیچ مطالعه ای وجود ندارد که این خلا را به شکلی جامع پر کند. این مقاله یک خلاصه اجرایی از یافته هایی است که پرسشنامه آن با بررسی مطالعات موجود و روش دلفی توسط متخصصین طراحی گردید. این متخصصان شامل افرادی در زمینه حمل و نقل، سیاست گذاری و سایر رشته های مربوطه هستند که تعادل خوبی بین مناطق جغرافیایی ، محل کار و مدت زمان کار دارند. این مطالعه در اسفند و فروردین با بدست آوردن 775 پاسخ معتبر و تحلیل آنها با SPSS انجام شده است. همه گیری اخیر در حالی که نقاط ضعف شیوه های حمل و نقل فعلی را برجسته می کند ، به طور قابل توجهی چهره حمل و نقل را تغییر داده است. این بحران فرصتی منحصر به فرد برای طراحی مجدد برنامه های حمل و نقل به روشی پایدار و مقاوم تر فراهم کرد. این مطالعه تأثیر شیوع COVID-19 و اقدامات محدود کننده متعاقب آن را بر عادتهای سفر افراد و ریسک درک شده توسط آنها را بررسی می کند. در پایان این مقاله راهکارهای عملی را در قالب یک چارچوب برای سیاست گذاران بخش دولتی و خصوصی ارائه می دهد ، چرا که آنها در برهه زمانی حساسی گام برمی دارند و مسیر جدیدی را برای افراد و صنعت ترسیم می کنند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Developing a Policy-Making Framework for the Transportation Industry in the Post-Covid Era

نویسندگان English

Muhammad Masoud Faramarzi 1
Esmaeel Malakakhlagh 2
1 Ph.D. Student, Business Management, Faculty of Management and Economics, University of Guilan, Rasht, Iran.
2 Professor, Business Management, Faculty of Management and Economics, University of Guilan, Rasht, Iran.
چکیده English

The impacts of COVID-19 on transportation and related measures are being extensively studied. Given the various uncertainties and unknowns about the virus and its effects (especially long-term effects), it is important to understand the views and suggestions of experts in transportation sector and other relevant sectors, including policymaking. However, so far there are no studies that can comprehensively fill this gap. This article is an executive summary of the findings whose questionnaire was designed by experts by reviewing existing studies and Delphi method.
The experts include those in the fields of transportation, policymaking and other related fields which there is a good balance between geographical areas, place of work and duration of work among them. This study was conducted by obtaining 775 valid answers and analyzing them. The recent pandemic has significantly changed the face of transportation while highlighting the weaknesses of current transportation practices. This crisis provided a unique opportunity to redesign transportation programs in a more sustainable and resilient way. This study investigates the impact of the prevalence of COVID-19 and its subsequent restrictive measures on people's travel habits and perceived risk. At the end, this article presents practical solutions in the form of a framework for public and private sector policymakers, as they navigate at a critical time and chart a new path for individuals and industry.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Policy-Making
Framework
Transportation Industry
Post-Covid
-وزارت راه و شهرسازی، (1399)، "گزارش وضعیت تردد و جابه­جایی ویژه طرح کاهش زنجیره انتقال بیماری و محدودیت­های حمل ونقل بین المللی پس از شیوع ویروس کرونا در کشور".
-وزارت تعاون کار و رفاه اجتماعی، (1398)، "درآمدی بر آثار شیوع ویروس کرونا بر اقتصاد ایران"، ویراست یکم.
-وزارت راه و شهرسازی، (1399)، "بررسی و ضعیت عملکرد حمل و نقل عمومی جاده ای(ا سفند ماه 1396 ، 1397 ، 1398) ویژه مو ضوع کرونا".
- وزارت کشور، (1399)، "مروری بر وضعیت حمل و نقل شهری: اجرای فاصله گذای اجتماعی در حمل و نقل شهری - مسائل مشکلات - بایدها و نبایدها".
-Abdullah, M., Dias, C., Muley, D., Shahin, M.d., (2020), “Exploring the impacts of COVID-19 on travel behavior and mode preferences”, Transport, Res. Interdiscipl. Perspect. 8, 100255.
-Arimura, M., Ha, T., Okumura, K., Takumi, A., (2020), “Changes in urban mobility in Sapporo City”, Japan due to the COVID-19 emergency declaration. Transp. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 7, 100212.
-Bucsky, P., (2020), “Modal share changes due to COVID-19: The case of Budapest”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect., 8, 100141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100141.
-Budd, L., Ison, S., (2020), “Responsible transport: A post-COVID agenda for transport policy and practice. Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect.”, 6, 100151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100151.
-Chen, Q., Pan, S., (2020), “Transport-related experiences in China in response to the Coronavirus (COVID-19)”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 8, 100246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100246.
-Citroen, P., 2020. COVID-19 and its impact on the European rail supply industry. Accessible from.
https://www.globalrailwayreview.com/article/98741/covid19-eur opean-rail-supply-industry/. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-Das, M., 2020. Covid-19 impact: 36 per cent drop in railways. Cargo in Early April. Accessible from.
https://www.thehindubusinessline. com/economy/logistics/covid-19-impact-36-drop-in-railways-cargo-in-early-april/article31407380.ece#. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-De Haas, M., Faber, R., Hamersma, M., (2020), “How COVID-19 and the Dutch ‘intelligent lockdown’ change activities, work, and travel behavior: Evidence from longitudinal data in the Netherlands”, Transp. Res. Interdiscip. Persp. 6, 100150.
-Doganis, R., (2019), “Flying off course”, Airline economics and marketing (5th ed.). New York, NY: Routledge.
-Dzisi, E.K.J., Dei, O.A., (2020),  “Adherence to social distancing and wearing of masks within public transportation during the COVID 19 pandemic”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 7, 100191.
-Eit (European Institute of Innovation & Technology), (2020a), “COVID-19 has a disruptive impact on the way we live and move around, on cities and society as a whole”, https://eit.europa.eu/news-events/news/covid-19-what-happening-area-urban-mobility. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-Eurocontrol, (2020), “COVID-19 impact on the European air traffic network”, Retrieved from https://www.eurocontrol.int/covid19 (Accessed 2 July 2020).
-Euronews, (2020), “Europe warned of second waves of COVID-19.
https://www.euronews.com/2020/05/11/europe-warned-of-second-waves-of-covid-19. (Accessed 12 May 2020).
-Hadjidemetriou, G.M., Sasidharan, M., Kouyialis, G., Parlikad, A.K., (2020), “The impact of government measures and human mobility trend on COVID-19 related deaths in the UK. Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect”, 6, 100167.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100167.
-Hotle, S., Murray-Tuite, P., Singh, K., (2020), “Influenza risk perception and travel-related health protection behavior in the US: Insights for the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 5, 100127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100127.
-IATA, (2020), “Passenger confidence is fundamental to the recovery in air travel”, Retrieved from https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economicreports/Passenger-confidence-is-fundamental-to-the-recovery-in-air-travel/ (Accessed 28 September 2020).
-IATA, (2020), “COVID-19 impact on Asia-Pacific aviation worsens”, https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/pr/2020-04-24-01/. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-ICAO, (2020), “Economic impacts of COVID-19 on civil aviation”, https://www.icao.int/sustainability/Pages/Economic-Impacts-of-COVID-19.aspx. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-International Civil Aviation Organization, (2020), “Effects of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on civil aviation: Economic impact analysis”, Retrieved fromhttps://www.icao.int/sustainability/Documents/COVID19/ICAO_Coronavirus_Econ_Impact.pdf (Accessed 29 June 2020).
-Ito, H., Hanaoka, S., Kawasaki, T., (2020), “The cruise industry and the COVID-19 outbreak. Transport. Res.”, Interdiscip. Perspect. 5, 100136.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100136.
-Jenelius, E., Cebecauer, M., (2020), “Impacts of COVID-19 on public transport ridership in Sweden: Analysis of ticket validations, sales and passenger counts. Transp. Res. Interdiscip. Persp.”, 8, 100242.
-Katrakazas, C., Michelaraki, E., Sekadakis, M., Yannis, G., (2020), “A descriptive analysis of the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on driving behavior and road safety”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 7, 100186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. trip.2020.100186.
-Lee, D., Lee, J., (2020), “Testing on the move: South Korea's rapid response to the COVID-19 pandemic”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 5, 100111.
-McCauley, D., Teleki, K., Thienemann, G.F., (2020), “8 ways to rebuild a stronger ocean economy after COVID-19”, https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/how-to-buil d-a-bluer-ocean-economy-after-cobid-19/. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-Monmousseau, P., Marzuoli, A., Feron, E., Delahaye, D., (2020), “Impact of Covid-19 on passengers and airlines from passenger measurements: Managing customer satisfaction while putting the US Air Transportation System to sleep”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 7, 100179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100179.
-OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue1. (2020). OECD Economic Outlook. https://doi.org/10.1787/0d1d1e2een
-Romero, V., Stone, W.D., Ford, J.D., (2020), “COVID-19 indoor exposure levels: An analysis of foot traffic scenarios within an academic building. Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect.”, 7, 100185.
-Saladie, O., Bustamante, E., Gutierrez, A., (2020), “COVID-19 lockdown and reduction of traffic accidents in Tarragona province”, Spain. Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect., 8, 1000218.
-Sobieralski, J.B., (2020), “COVID-19 and airline employment: Insights from historical uncertainty shocks to the industry”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 5, 100123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100123.
-Teixeira, J.F., Lopes, M., (2020), “The link between bike sharing and subway use during the COVID-19 pandemic: The case-study of New York's Citi Bike”, Transport. Res. Interdiscip. Perspect. 6, 100166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100166.
-Teoh, P., (2020), “The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on shipping. https://www.ma ritime-executive”, com/editorials/the-impact-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-on-shipping. (Accessed 20 May 2020).
-The Economist Intelligence Unit, (2020), “COVID-19 to send almost all G20 countries into a recession”.
 https://www.eiu.com/n/covid-19-to-send-almost-all-g20-countries-int o-a-recession/. (Accessed 1 May 2020).
-United Nations, (2020), “Everyone included: social impact of COVID-19”.
https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/everyone-included-covid-19.html. (Accessed 1 May 2020).
-World Economic Forum, (2019), “The travel & tourism competitiveness index”. Retrieved from http://reports.weforum.org/travel-and-tourism-competitivenessreport-2019/files/2019/09/OVERALL-RESULTS.pdf (Accessed 28 September 2020).
-Worrall, E., (2020), “United Nations: the COVID-19 lockdown CO2 emissions fall is unfortunately (only) short-term good news”. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/04/23/united-nations-the-covid-19-lockdown-global-warming -emissions-fall-is-unfortunately-only-short-term-good-news/, 1 May 2020.